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An Evaluation of the Relationship Between Critical Technology Developments and Technology Maturity Open Access

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The research presented in this dissertation investigates the relationship between critical technologies and technology maturity assessments at a key decision point in the product development life cycle. This study utilizes statistical methods for assessing technology maturity at a key decision point. A regression model is established and utilized for predicting the probability of a system achieving technology maturity. The study disclosed with a 95% confidence that there is statistical evidence that utilization of heritage technology developments, as originally designed, significantly increases the probability of achieving technology maturity at a key decision point. This finding is significance due to the potential for engineers to overestimate technology maturity when utilizing heritage designs. One challenge facing systems engineers is quantifying the impact technology developments have on technology maturity assessments, especially when transitioning from formulation to implementation. Correctly assessing the maturity of a technology is crucial for an organization’s ability to manage performance, cost, and schedule. The findings from this research has the potential to reduce unacceptable or unsatisfactory technical performance and programmatic overruns through the minimization of inaccurate maturity determinations.

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