Electronic Thesis/Dissertation
 

System Dynamic Modeling for US Navy Fleet Design: Modeled Sustainability Analysis for Combatant Force Structure Planning

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Designing, building, operating, and sustaining large fleet operations is a complex challenge. The US Navy designs, builds, and operates the largest fleet in the world by gross tonnage and operational capacity. The U.S. Navy’s global dominance at sea has made it an invaluable foreign policy tool as well as a guarantor of maritime trade, maintaining global stability. In 2018, the US National Defense Strategy identified that emerging competitors such as China and Russia threaten to disrupt US maritime superiority. Like any organization facing the grave stakes of losing strategic overmatch, the Navy must realize how to manage and achieve its fleet goals in a competitive landscape. Fleet optimization for national defense requires attention to static or declining budget limitations authorized by Congress, as well as the ability to maximize force projection capacity in order to provide deterrence against future conflicts. This research demonstrates a systems approach to maximizing force projection as a function of force design. Through a systems dynamic model, the Navy can evaluate its strategies and resourcing policies over the congressionally mandated 30-year horizon. This model ensures the fiscal feasibility of plans and optimal management for steady state force projection as modeled through force capabilities, force capacity, and readiness factors.

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